How Footylab Anytime Try Scorer Analysis Works

Each ATS player gets an independent scoring probability from try-scoring rate, recent form, expected role, team attack, opponent weakness, venue and availability context.

Footylab shrinks smaller samples toward a baseline so a short run of tries does not get treated as certainty.

This keeps the main ATS value score on the same footing as H2H: a stats probability compared with a market probability.

The listed decimal price is converted into a raw implied scoring chance by dividing 100 by the odds.

ATS prices are not mutually exclusive outcomes, so this is not de-vigged like H2H. Multiple players can score in the same match.

The raw odds-implied chance is still the cleanest way to ask whether the price looks generous relative to Footylab's player probability.

Footylab also ranks eligible ATS players inside the same match by stats profile and by market position.

Those ranks are converted into percentiles so the page can explain whether the market is rating a player higher or lower than the stats do.

This rank gap is secondary context. It helps explain the angle, but the canonical ATS value score now comes from the probability gap.

The ATS overall value score is the gap between Footylab's player scoring probability and the odds-implied scoring probability.

If Footylab's probability is higher than the price implies, the score moves positive and the offer looks more like value.

If the price implies more chance than Footylab's stats support, the score moves negative and the offer looks more like a ripoff.